Housing demand projections

Census 2021 tenure patterns (ownership, social rent, private rent) by ethnic group, projected forward using demographic composition changes. 316 areas.

316 Areas modelled
38 Areas with rising social rent demand
AreaOwner 2021Social 2021Social 2041Change
Hackney 17.7% 26.9% 29.7% +2.8pp Haringey 26.7% 17.7% 19.7% +2.0pp Waltham Forest 30.5% 13.2% 14.6% +1.4pp Brent 17.2% 10.3% 11.3% +1.0pp Southwark 19.5% 24.4% 24.8% +0.5pp Kensington and Chelsea 25.0% 21.6% 22.0% +0.5pp Fenland 65.4% 12.5% 13.0% +0.5pp Ealing 26.0% 9.8% 10.2% +0.4pp Enfield 35.6% 11.6% 12.0% +0.4pp Westminster 19.3% 20.9% 21.3% +0.4pp King's Lynn and West Norfolk 65.5% 13.4% 13.8% +0.4pp Isles of Scilly 45.3% 17.2% 17.6% +0.4pp West Lancashire 70.5% 14.2% 14.4% +0.2pp Breckland 66.2% 14.0% 14.2% +0.2pp Stroud 72.6% 12.2% 12.3% +0.2pp Malvern Hills 70.8% 14.2% 14.4% +0.2pp Newham 11.4% 9.4% 9.6% +0.1pp South Ribble 74.7% 10.2% 10.3% +0.1pp Wyre 73.2% 7.6% 7.6% +0.1pp Harrow 24.1% 4.7% 4.9% +0.1pp Redcar and Cleveland 64.5% 18.7% 18.9% +0.1pp Chorley 70.9% 13.0% 13.1% +0.1pp Bassetlaw 67.1% 14.7% 14.8% +0.1pp Boston 56.7% 19.1% 19.2% +0.1pp Rochford 79.3% 7.9% 8.0% +0.1pp Wychavon 69.9% 15.4% 15.5% +0.1pp North West Leicestershire 71.2% 13.3% 13.4% +0.1pp Amber Valley 71.5% 12.6% 12.7% +0.1pp Fylde 70.9% 8.2% 8.3% +0.1pp Newark and Sherwood 68.3% 13.7% 13.8% +0.1pp North East Derbyshire 70.2% 18.5% 18.6% +0.1pp Wyre Forest 68.0% 13.9% 14.0% +0.1pp Rushcliffe 71.3% 8.2% 8.2% +0.1pp Broadland 76.3% 9.6% 9.7% +0.1pp Lichfield 71.8% 12.7% 12.8% +0.1pp Wealden 76.5% 8.2% 8.3% +0.1pp North Norfolk 68.8% 12.9% 13.0% +0.1pp Tewkesbury 70.8% 12.5% 12.6% +0.1pp Cardiff 48.8% 14.5% 14.5% 0.0pp Barnet 37.2% 9.5% 9.5% 0.0pp Cheshire East 70.4% 11.2% 11.2% 0.0pp North East Lincolnshire 62.8% 13.0% 13.0% 0.0pp Lancaster 64.5% 9.9% 9.9% 0.0pp East Devon 72.6% 10.2% 10.2% 0.0pp Bedford 51.7% 13.8% 13.8% 0.0pp South Kesteven 67.5% 12.2% 12.2% 0.0pp Tendring 70.5% 8.0% 8.0% 0.0pp Cheltenham 60.5% 11.6% 11.6% 0.0pp North Hertfordshire 60.4% 17.4% 17.4% 0.0pp Stratford-on-Avon 70.8% 13.1% 13.1% 0.0pp