Housing demand projections

Census 2021 tenure patterns (ownership, social rent, private rent) by ethnic group, projected forward using demographic composition changes. 316 areas.

316Areas modelled
48Areas with rising social rent demand
AreaOwner 2021Social 2021Social 2041Change
Hackney 17.7% 26.9% 31.7% +4.8pp Haringey 26.7% 17.7% 21.7% +4.0pp Lambeth 22.7% 22.5% 25.6% +3.2pp Islington 20.9% 30.3% 33.4% +3.1pp Southwark 19.5% 24.4% 27.2% +2.8pp Enfield 35.6% 11.6% 13.7% +2.1pp Waltham Forest 30.5% 13.2% 15.2% +1.9pp Brent 17.2% 10.3% 12.0% +1.8pp Harrow 24.1% 4.7% 6.3% +1.6pp Ealing 26.0% 9.8% 10.4% +0.7pp Lewisham 26.8% 17.8% 18.6% +0.7pp Boston 56.7% 19.1% 19.8% +0.7pp Hounslow 25.0% 11.2% 11.7% +0.6pp Newham 11.4% 9.4% 10.1% +0.6pp Kirklees 50.7% 11.9% 12.5% +0.6pp Merton 38.4% 9.5% 10.1% +0.6pp Wandsworth 33.5% 14.8% 15.4% +0.6pp Fenland 65.4% 12.5% 13.1% +0.6pp Barnet 37.2% 9.5% 10.0% +0.5pp West Lancashire 70.5% 14.2% 14.7% +0.5pp King's Lynn and West Norfolk 65.5% 13.4% 13.9% +0.5pp Kingston upon Thames 47.5% 8.8% 9.2% +0.4pp Isles of Scilly 45.3% 17.2% 17.6% +0.4pp Kensington and Chelsea 25.0% 21.6% 21.8% +0.3pp Bassetlaw 67.1% 14.7% 15.0% +0.3pp Newark and Sherwood 68.3% 13.7% 14.0% +0.3pp Richmond upon Thames 55.2% 10.9% 11.2% +0.3pp Chorley 70.9% 13.0% 13.2% +0.2pp Wychavon 69.9% 15.4% 15.6% +0.2pp North West Leicestershire 71.2% 13.3% 13.6% +0.2pp Malvern Hills 70.8% 14.2% 14.4% +0.2pp Tewkesbury 70.8% 12.5% 12.7% +0.2pp Blackpool 55.8% 10.0% 10.1% +0.1pp South Ribble 74.7% 10.2% 10.3% +0.1pp Wyre 73.2% 7.6% 7.6% +0.1pp North East Lincolnshire 62.8% 13.0% 13.1% +0.1pp Redcar and Cleveland 64.5% 18.7% 18.8% +0.1pp Lancaster 64.5% 9.9% 10.0% +0.1pp Darlington 60.8% 15.7% 15.9% +0.1pp Rochford 79.3% 7.9% 8.0% +0.1pp Amber Valley 71.5% 12.6% 12.7% +0.1pp Fylde 70.9% 8.2% 8.3% +0.1pp North East Derbyshire 70.2% 18.5% 18.6% +0.1pp North Warwickshire 69.9% 13.4% 13.5% +0.1pp Wyre Forest 68.0% 13.9% 14.0% +0.1pp Breckland 66.2% 14.0% 14.1% +0.1pp Broadland 76.3% 9.6% 9.7% +0.1pp Stroud 72.6% 12.2% 12.3% +0.1pp Cardiff 48.8% 14.5% 14.5% 0.0pp Warrington 66.4% 14.7% 14.7% 0.0pp