South Ribble

North West · England
-6.7pp WBI 92.8% → 86.2% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
111,035 Population (2021 Census)
92.8% White British (2021)
89.1% White British (2041 projected)
86.2% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 92.8%
white other 2.5%
asian 2.1%
black 0.5%
mixed 1.7%
other 0.3%

Projected 2051

white british 86.2%
white other 4.8%
asian 3.0%
black 0.8%
mixed 4.8%
other 0.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+5.2pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.20 · Dissimilarity: 18.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 95.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 5.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 29.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.9%
notEnglishPct 4.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

34/100 Low Pressure Rank 177 of 320
Ethnic change6/20
Asylum16/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing12/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate60.5%
Avg home ownership74.7%
Avg social rent10.2%
Degree or above31.1%
No qualifications15.2%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)74.7%
Social rent (2021)10.2%
Private rent (2021)12.6%
Ownership (2041)73.6%
Social rent (2041)10.3%
Social rent change+0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.9%
notEnglishPct 4.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+3.8pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census