Redcar and Cleveland

North East · England
-2.3pp WBI 96.5% → 94.2% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
136,530 Population (2021 Census)
96.5% White British (2021)
95.2% White British (2041 projected)
94.2% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 96.5%
white other 1.2%
asian 0.8%
black 0.2%
mixed 0.9%
other 0.4%

Projected 2051

white british 94.2%
white other 1.5%
asian 1.0%
black 0.2%
mixed 2.4%
other 0.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: local migration.

-1.1pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.4pp Structural effect
+6.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.11 · Dissimilarity: 22.0

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 97.1%
Foreign-born (2021) 2.9%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 19.4%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.9%
notEnglishPct 2.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

24/100 Stable Rank 254 of 320
Ethnic change2/20
Asylum9/20
School4/20
Language0/20
Housing8/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate52.6%
Avg home ownership64.5%
Avg social rent18.7%
Degree or above24.7%
No qualifications21.8%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)64.5%
Social rent (2021)18.7%
Private rent (2021)15.8%
Ownership (2041)64.1%
Social rent (2041)18.8%
Social rent change+0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 20,621 pupils.

WBI pupils92.3%
Minority pupils7.7%
EAL growth (projected)+4.2pp
WBI gap (school vs population)4.2pp

School and population ethnic composition are closely aligned.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.9%
notEnglishPct 2.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+1.3pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census