North Hertfordshire

East of England · England
-10.2pp WBI 81.3% → 71.1% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
133,210 Population (2021 Census)
81.3% White British (2021)
75.2% White British (2041 projected)
71.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 81.3%
white other 6.3%
asian 5.2%
black 2.4%
mixed 3.7%
other 1.1%

Projected 2051

white british 71.1%
white other 11.7%
asian 4.3%
black 3.7%
mixed 7.8%
other 1.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.6pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.4pp Structural effect
+3.2pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.42 · Dissimilarity: 8.8

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 88.4%
Foreign-born (2021) 11.6%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 51.1%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.7%
notEnglishPct 8.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

35/100 Low Pressure Rank 172 of 320
Ethnic change9/20
Asylum6/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate60.1%
Avg home ownership60.4%
Avg social rent17.4%
Degree or above38.3%
No qualifications12.5%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)60.4%
Social rent (2021)17.4%
Private rent (2021)14.5%
Ownership (2041)59.4%
Social rent (2041)17.4%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.7%
notEnglishPct 8.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+6.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census