Ealing

London · England
-15.3pp WBI 24.3% → 9.0% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
367,116 Population (2021 Census)
24.3% White British (2021)
13.4% White British (2041 projected)
9.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 24.3%
white other 18.9%
asian 30.3%
black 10.8%
mixed 5.2%
other 10.6%

Projected 2051

white british 9.1%
white other 13.2%
asian 24.8%
black 8.4%
mixed 6.5%
other 38.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-6.1pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+3.9pp Structural effect
-3.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

highly diverse Shannon entropy: 0.92 · Dissimilarity: 50.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 28.7% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 49.2%
Foreign-born (2021) 50.8%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 82.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 69.1%
notEnglishPct 61.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

60/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 38 of 320
Ethnic change16/20
Asylum16/20
School11/20
Language0/20
Housing16/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate38.8%
Avg home ownership26%
Avg social rent9.8%
Degree or above26.4%
No qualifications10.3%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)26%
Social rent (2021)9.8%
Private rent (2021)23.1%
Ownership (2041)25.4%
Social rent (2041)10.4%
Social rent change+0.7pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 53,831 pupils.

WBI pupils12.9%
Minority pupils87.1%
EAL growth (projected)+11.4pp
WBI gap (school vs population)11.4pp

Schools are 11pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 69.1%
notEnglishPct 61.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+10.9pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census