Amber Valley

East Midlands · England
-4.1pp WBI 95.0% → 90.9% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
126,204 Population (2021 Census)
95.0% White British (2021)
92.6% White British (2041 projected)
90.9% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 95.0%
white other 2.3%
asian 1.0%
black 0.3%
mixed 1.2%
other 0.2%

Projected 2051

white british 90.9%
white other 4.4%
asian 1.0%
black 0.3%
mixed 3.1%
other 0.3%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-1.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+6.3pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.15 · Dissimilarity: 20.5

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 96.3%
Foreign-born (2021) 3.7%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 23.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.5%
notEnglishPct 3.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

17/100 Stable Rank 299 of 320
Ethnic change4/20
Asylum3/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing10/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate58.9%
Avg home ownership71.5%
Avg social rent12.6%
Degree or above28.5%
No qualifications19.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)71.5%
Social rent (2021)12.6%
Private rent (2021)14.6%
Ownership (2041)71%
Social rent (2041)12.7%
Social rent change+0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.5%
notEnglishPct 3.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+2.4pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census