West Lancashire

North West · England
-11.8pp WBI 92.8% → 81.0% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
117,429 Population (2021 Census)
92.8% White British (2021)
86.1% White British (2041 projected)
81.0% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 92.8%
white other 4.1%
asian 1.0%
black 0.3%
mixed 1.3%
other 0.4%

Projected 2051

white british 81.0%
white other 14.7%
asian 1.0%
black 0.4%
mixed 2.4%
other 0.5%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.7pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+4.9pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.19 · Dissimilarity: 18.3

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 94.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 33.6%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.7%
notEnglishPct 6.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

41/100 Low Pressure Rank 138 of 320
Ethnic change10/20
Asylum17/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing14/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate56.7%
Avg home ownership70.5%
Avg social rent14.2%
Degree or above29.6%
No qualifications17.5%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)70.5%
Social rent (2021)14.2%
Private rent (2021)14%
Ownership (2041)68.5%
Social rent (2041)14.7%
Social rent change+0.5pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.7%
notEnglishPct 6.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+6.7pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census