Boston

East Midlands · England
-33.1pp WBI 74.5% → 41.4% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
70,505 Population (2021 Census)
74.5% White British (2021)
52.1% White British (2041 projected)
41.4% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 74.5%
white other 20.1%
asian 2.0%
black 0.7%
mixed 1.4%
other 1.2%

Projected 2051

white british 41.4%
white other 52.2%
asian 2.0%
black 0.8%
mixed 2.5%
other 1.2%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-9.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.3pp Structural effect
-2.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.43 · Dissimilarity: 12.9

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 76.4%
Foreign-born (2021) 23.6%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 71.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 79.3%
notEnglishPct 41.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

48/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 100 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum8/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate60.1%
Avg home ownership56.7%
Avg social rent19.1%
Degree or above18.5%
No qualifications27%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)56.7%
Social rent (2021)19.1%
Private rent (2021)21.5%
Ownership (2041)46.9%
Social rent (2041)19.8%
Social rent change+0.7pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 79.3%
notEnglishPct 41.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+22.4pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census