Newark and Sherwood

East Midlands · England
-16.7pp WBI 91.1% → 74.4% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
122,959 Population (2021 Census)
91.1% White British (2021)
82.1% White British (2041 projected)
74.3% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 91.1%
white other 5.2%
asian 1.1%
black 0.7%
mixed 1.5%
other 0.4%

Projected 2051

white british 74.3%
white other 20.3%
asian 1.1%
black 0.7%
mixed 3.1%
other 0.5%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.2pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.1pp Structural effect
+4.3pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.23 · Dissimilarity: 16.6

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 92.7%
Foreign-born (2021) 7.3%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 38.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.9%
notEnglishPct 8.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

32/100 Low Pressure Rank 198 of 320
Ethnic change13/20
Asylum3/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing16/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57.4%
Avg home ownership68.3%
Avg social rent13.7%
Degree or above28.5%
No qualifications18.7%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)68.3%
Social rent (2021)13.7%
Private rent (2021)16.3%
Ownership (2041)65.7%
Social rent (2041)14%
Social rent change+0.3pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.9%
notEnglishPct 8.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+9pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census