Chorley

North West · England
-4.8pp WBI 92.9% → 88.1% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
117,733 Population (2021 Census)
92.9% White British (2021)
90.0% White British (2041 projected)
88.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 92.9%
white other 2.7%
asian 1.9%
black 0.6%
mixed 1.5%
other 0.4%

Projected 2051

white british 88.1%
white other 5.4%
asian 2.1%
black 0.7%
mixed 3.3%
other 0.5%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.2pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+5.4pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.20 · Dissimilarity: 18.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 95.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 5.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 29.4%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.8%
notEnglishPct 4.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

26/100 Low Pressure Rank 237 of 320
Ethnic change4/20
Asylum9/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing12/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate60.3%
Avg home ownership70.9%
Avg social rent13%
Degree or above33%
No qualifications15.6%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)70.9%
Social rent (2021)13%
Private rent (2021)13.7%
Ownership (2041)70.1%
Social rent (2041)13.2%
Social rent change+0.2pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.8%
notEnglishPct 4.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+2.9pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census