Haringey

London · England
-16.6pp WBI 31.9% → 15.3% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
264,238 Population (2021 Census)
31.9% White British (2021)
21.8% White British (2041 projected)
15.3% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 31.9%
white other 25.1%
asian 8.8%
black 17.6%
mixed 7.0%
other 9.7%

Projected 2051

white british 15.3%
white other 11.4%
asian 4.4%
black 8.6%
mixed 6.1%
other 54.2%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+3.6pp Structural effect
0.0pp Local effect

Diversity index

highly diverse Shannon entropy: 0.92 · Dissimilarity: 43.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 54.2%
Foreign-born (2021) 45.8%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 79.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 72.8%
notEnglishPct 54.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

47/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 102 of 320
Ethnic change15/20
Asylum3/20
School12/20
Language0/20
Housing17/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate50.4%
Avg home ownership26.7%
Avg social rent17.7%
Degree or above34.7%
No qualifications14.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)26.7%
Social rent (2021)17.7%
Private rent (2021)29.3%
Ownership (2041)26.2%
Social rent (2041)21.7%
Social rent change+4pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 35,875 pupils.

WBI pupils20.0%
Minority pupils80.0%
EAL growth (projected)+11.9pp
WBI gap (school vs population)11.9pp

Schools are 12pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 72.8%
notEnglishPct 54.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+10.1pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census