Stroud

South West · England
-5.8pp WBI 92.4% → 86.6% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
121,104 Population (2021 Census)
92.4% White British (2021)
89.1% White British (2041 projected)
86.6% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 92.4%
white other 4.0%
asian 1.0%
black 0.4%
mixed 1.8%
other 0.4%

Projected 2051

white british 86.6%
white other 6.9%
asian 1.0%
black 0.4%
mixed 4.8%
other 0.3%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.5pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+5.1pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.20 · Dissimilarity: 18.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 93.4%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.6%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 36.0%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.2%
notEnglishPct 3.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

20/100 Stable Rank 286 of 320
Ethnic change5/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing15/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate61.1%
Avg home ownership72.6%
Avg social rent12.2%
Degree or above38.2%
No qualifications13.2%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)72.6%
Social rent (2021)12.2%
Private rent (2021)13.7%
Ownership (2041)72.1%
Social rent (2041)12.3%
Social rent change+0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.2%
notEnglishPct 3.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+3.4pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census