Rushcliffe

East Midlands · England
-12.6pp WBI 86.1% → 73.5% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
119,077 Population (2021 Census)
86.1% White British (2021)
78.9% White British (2041 projected)
73.5% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 86.1%
white other 3.7%
asian 5.7%
black 0.9%
mixed 2.8%
other 0.9%

Projected 2051

white british 73.5%
white other 7.3%
asian 10.5%
black 0.8%
mixed 6.9%
other 0.9%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-4.2pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.8pp Structural effect
+3.0pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.33 · Dissimilarity: 12.7

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 91.7%
Foreign-born (2021) 8.3%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 42.0%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.0%
notEnglishPct 6.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

29/100 Low Pressure Rank 218 of 320
Ethnic change11/20
Asylum2/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing17/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate56.6%
Avg home ownership71.3%
Avg social rent8.2%
Degree or above42.3%
No qualifications11.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)71.3%
Social rent (2021)8.2%
Private rent (2021)14%
Ownership (2041)68.2%
Social rent (2041)8.1%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.0%
notEnglishPct 6.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+7.2pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census