Brent

London · England
-7.4pp WBI 15.2% → 7.8% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
339,821 Population (2021 Census)
15.2% White British (2021)
10.2% White British (2041 projected)
7.8% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 15.2%
white other 19.4%
asian 32.8%
black 17.5%
mixed 5.1%
other 10.0%

Projected 2051

white british 7.8%
white other 15.2%
asian 20.9%
black 11.2%
mixed 4.5%
other 40.5%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+4.9pp Structural effect
-1.3pp Local effect

Diversity index

highly diverse Shannon entropy: 0.92 · Dissimilarity: 59.3

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 30.4% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 43.9%
Foreign-born (2021) 56.1%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 85.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 66.3%
notEnglishPct 67.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

42/100 Low Pressure Rank 130 of 320
Ethnic change8/20
Asylum15/20
School5/20
Language0/20
Housing15/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate32.7%
Avg home ownership17.2%
Avg social rent10.3%
Degree or above19.7%
No qualifications11.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)17.2%
Social rent (2021)10.3%
Private rent (2021)22.2%
Ownership (2041)18.9%
Social rent (2041)12%
Social rent change+1.8pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 47,868 pupils.

WBI pupils10.2%
Minority pupils89.8%
EAL growth (projected)+5.0pp
WBI gap (school vs population)5.0pp

School and population ethnic composition are closely aligned.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 66.3%
notEnglishPct 67.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+5pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census