Fenland

East of England · England
-16.9pp WBI 85.9% → 69.0% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
102,461 Population (2021 Census)
85.9% White British (2021)
75.6% White British (2041 projected)
69.0% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 85.9%
white other 10.0%
asian 1.2%
black 0.8%
mixed 1.4%
other 0.7%

Projected 2051

white british 69.0%
white other 25.4%
asian 1.1%
black 0.9%
mixed 2.8%
other 0.8%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-4.5pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.8pp Structural effect
+2.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.31 · Dissimilarity: 14.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 87.5%
Foreign-born (2021) 12.5%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 53.3%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 91.2%
notEnglishPct 17.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

36/100 Low Pressure Rank 168 of 320
Ethnic change16/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57.2%
Avg home ownership65.4%
Avg social rent12.5%
Degree or above18.7%
No qualifications25.3%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)65.4%
Social rent (2021)12.5%
Private rent (2021)20.1%
Ownership (2041)61.6%
Social rent (2041)13.1%
Social rent change+0.6pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 91.2%
notEnglishPct 17.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+10.4pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census