Bassetlaw

East Midlands · England
-11.2pp WBI 92.0% → 80.8% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
117,803 Population (2021 Census)
92.0% White British (2021)
85.7% White British (2041 projected)
80.8% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 92.0%
white other 4.5%
asian 1.2%
black 0.6%
mixed 1.2%
other 0.5%

Projected 2051

white british 80.8%
white other 14.5%
asian 1.2%
black 0.7%
mixed 2.3%
other 0.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.5pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+5.0pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.21 · Dissimilarity: 17.5

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 93.3%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.7%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 36.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.8%
notEnglishPct 8.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

32/100 Low Pressure Rank 195 of 320
Ethnic change10/20
Asylum8/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing15/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57.7%
Avg home ownership67.1%
Avg social rent14.7%
Degree or above25%
No qualifications21.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)67.1%
Social rent (2021)14.7%
Private rent (2021)16.3%
Ownership (2041)65%
Social rent (2041)15%
Social rent change+0.3pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.8%
notEnglishPct 8.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+6.4pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census