East Devon

South West · England
-5.3pp WBI 94.1% → 88.9% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
150,823 Population (2021 Census)
94.2% White British (2021)
91.1% White British (2041 projected)
88.9% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 94.2%
white other 3.2%
asian 1.0%
black 0.2%
mixed 1.1%
other 0.3%

Projected 2051

white british 88.9%
white other 8.0%
asian 0.8%
black 0.2%
mixed 1.9%
other 0.3%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.1pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+5.6pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.16 · Dissimilarity: 19.7

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 93.8%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.2%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 34.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.1%
notEnglishPct 3.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

26/100 Low Pressure Rank 238 of 320
Ethnic change5/20
Asylum7/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing14/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate53.7%
Avg home ownership72.6%
Avg social rent10.2%
Degree or above33.4%
No qualifications14.9%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)72.6%
Social rent (2021)10.2%
Private rent (2021)16%
Ownership (2041)72.2%
Social rent (2041)10.1%
Social rent change-0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.1%
notEnglishPct 3.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+3.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census