Stratford-on-Avon

West Midlands · England
-9.6pp WBI 90.1% → 80.5% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
134,724 Population (2021 Census)
90.1% White British (2021)
84.2% White British (2041 projected)
80.5% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 90.1%
white other 5.5%
asian 1.9%
black 0.3%
mixed 1.7%
other 0.5%

Projected 2051

white british 80.5%
white other 12.5%
asian 2.3%
black 0.3%
mixed 4.0%
other 0.5%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.5pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.1pp Structural effect
+3.9pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.25 · Dissimilarity: 15.6

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 91.6%
Foreign-born (2021) 8.4%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 42.4%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.6%
notEnglishPct 6.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

31/100 Low Pressure Rank 205 of 320
Ethnic change9/20
Asylum5/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing17/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate59.5%
Avg home ownership70.8%
Avg social rent13.1%
Degree or above38.6%
No qualifications14.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)70.8%
Social rent (2021)13.1%
Private rent (2021)13.9%
Ownership (2041)69.3%
Social rent (2041)13.1%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.6%
notEnglishPct 6.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+5.8pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census