Fylde

North West · England
-2.9pp WBI 93.1% → 90.2% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
81,375 Population (2021 Census)
93.1% White British (2021)
91.4% White British (2041 projected)
90.2% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 93.1%
white other 3.1%
asian 1.4%
black 0.4%
mixed 1.4%
other 0.5%

Projected 2051

white british 90.2%
white other 4.5%
asian 1.3%
black 0.7%
mixed 2.8%
other 0.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-1.9pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+5.6pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.19 · Dissimilarity: 18.6

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 94.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 33.6%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.8%
notEnglishPct 4.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

21/100 Stable Rank 271 of 320
Ethnic change3/20
Asylum4/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing14/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate53%
Avg home ownership70.9%
Avg social rent8.2%
Degree or above33.8%
No qualifications15.7%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)70.9%
Social rent (2021)8.2%
Private rent (2021)19.1%
Ownership (2041)70.5%
Social rent (2041)8.3%
Social rent change+0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.8%
notEnglishPct 4.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+1.7pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census