Bedford

East of England · England
-25.4pp WBI 64.1% → 38.7% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
185,224 Population (2021 Census)
64.1% White British (2021)
47.6% White British (2041 projected)
38.7% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 64.1%
white other 11.6%
asian 12.6%
black 5.3%
mixed 4.6%
other 1.8%

Projected 2051

white british 38.7%
white other 17.9%
asian 14.5%
black 11.8%
mixed 9.0%
other 8.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-7.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+0.7pp Structural effect
-1.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.65 · Dissimilarity: 10.7

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 10.1% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 78.6%
Foreign-born (2021) 21.4%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 55.8%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 87.8%
notEnglishPct 24.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

58/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 57 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum6/20
School16/20
Language0/20
Housing17/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate53.5%
Avg home ownership51.7%
Avg social rent13.8%
Degree or above28.5%
No qualifications13.8%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)51.7%
Social rent (2021)13.8%
Private rent (2021)16.6%
Ownership (2041)45.2%
Social rent (2041)13.5%
Social rent change-0.3pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 31,475 pupils.

WBI pupils48.5%
Minority pupils51.5%
EAL growth (projected)+15.6pp
WBI gap (school vs population)15.6pp

Schools are 16pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 87.8%
notEnglishPct 24.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+16.5pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census