North East Derbyshire

East Midlands · England
-2.7pp WBI 95.8% → 93.1% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
102,003 Population (2021 Census)
95.8% White British (2021)
94.1% White British (2041 projected)
93.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 95.8%
white other 1.7%
asian 0.9%
black 0.3%
mixed 1.1%
other 0.2%

Projected 2051

white british 93.1%
white other 2.6%
asian 0.9%
black 0.3%
mixed 2.9%
other 0.2%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: local migration.

-1.2pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+6.6pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.13 · Dissimilarity: 21.3

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 96.9%
Foreign-born (2021) 3.1%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 20.4%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.9%
notEnglishPct 2.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

14/100 Stable Rank 313 of 320
Ethnic change2/20
Asylum3/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing9/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate56.2%
Avg home ownership70.2%
Avg social rent18.5%
Degree or above27.2%
No qualifications19.7%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)70.2%
Social rent (2021)18.5%
Private rent (2021)10.1%
Ownership (2041)69.9%
Social rent (2041)18.6%
Social rent change+0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.9%
notEnglishPct 2.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+1.6pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census