Enfield

London · England
-25.2pp WBI 31.3% → 6.1% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
329,985 Population (2021 Census)
31.3% White British (2021)
12.8% White British (2041 projected)
6.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 31.3%
white other 20.8%
asian 11.5%
black 18.3%
mixed 5.9%
other 12.1%

Projected 2051

white british 6.1%
white other 7.7%
asian 5.6%
black 10.1%
mixed 3.5%
other 67.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-9.2pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+3.2pp Structural effect
-6.0pp Local effect

Diversity index

highly diverse Shannon entropy: 0.93 · Dissimilarity: 43.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 15.3% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 59.6%
Foreign-born (2021) 40.4%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 75.8%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 76.5%
notEnglishPct 47.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

58/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 54 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum6/20
School14/20
Language0/20
Housing18/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate42.9%
Avg home ownership35.6%
Avg social rent11.6%
Degree or above24.9%
No qualifications16.6%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)35.6%
Social rent (2021)11.6%
Private rent (2021)23%
Ownership (2041)35.7%
Social rent (2041)13.7%
Social rent change+2.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 52,922 pupils.

WBI pupils17.4%
Minority pupils82.6%
EAL growth (projected)+13.9pp
WBI gap (school vs population)13.9pp

Schools are 14pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 76.5%
notEnglishPct 47.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+18.4pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census