Newham

London · England
-5.8pp WBI 14.8% → 8.9% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
351,030 Population (2021 Census)
14.8% White British (2021)
10.6% White British (2041 projected)
8.9% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 14.8%
white other 16.0%
asian 42.2%
black 17.5%
mixed 4.7%
other 4.9%

Projected 2051

white british 8.9%
white other 18.7%
asian 42.3%
black 9.9%
mixed 5.0%
other 15.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.0pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+5.0pp Structural effect
-0.6pp Local effect

Diversity index

highly diverse Shannon entropy: 0.86 · Dissimilarity: 59.7

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 36.1% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 46.3%
Foreign-born (2021) 53.7%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 84.3%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 65.4%
notEnglishPct 69.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

46/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 106 of 320
Ethnic change6/20
Asylum15/20
School10/20
Language0/20
Housing15/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate28.6%
Avg home ownership11.4%
Avg social rent9.4%
Degree or above16.4%
No qualifications8.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)11.4%
Social rent (2021)9.4%
Private rent (2021)19.5%
Ownership (2041)12.1%
Social rent (2041)10.1%
Social rent change+0.6pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 62,370 pupils.

WBI pupils5.1%
Minority pupils94.9%
EAL growth (projected)+9.7pp
WBI gap (school vs population)9.7pp

Schools are 10pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 65.4%
notEnglishPct 69.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+4.1pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census