Wychavon

West Midlands · England
-15.5pp WBI 90.6% → 75.1% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
132,495 Population (2021 Census)
90.6% White British (2021)
81.7% White British (2041 projected)
75.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 90.6%
white other 6.2%
asian 1.1%
black 0.4%
mixed 1.2%
other 0.5%

Projected 2051

white british 75.1%
white other 21.2%
asian 1.0%
black 0.3%
mixed 1.9%
other 0.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.3pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.1pp Structural effect
+4.2pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.23 · Dissimilarity: 16.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 91.8%
Foreign-born (2021) 8.2%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 41.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.3%
notEnglishPct 9.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

34/100 Low Pressure Rank 180 of 320
Ethnic change13/20
Asylum4/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing17/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate58.8%
Avg home ownership69.9%
Avg social rent15.4%
Degree or above32.6%
No qualifications17.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)69.9%
Social rent (2021)15.4%
Private rent (2021)13.2%
Ownership (2041)66.9%
Social rent (2041)15.6%
Social rent change+0.2pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.3%
notEnglishPct 9.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+8.9pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census