Mansfield

East Midlands · England
-26.6pp WBI 87.3% → 60.8% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
110,482 Population (2021 Census)
87.3% White British (2021)
72.2% White British (2041 projected)
60.8% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 87.3%
white other 7.4%
asian 2.0%
black 1.1%
mixed 1.4%
other 0.7%

Projected 2051

white british 60.8%
white other 31.0%
asian 2.4%
black 1.5%
mixed 3.4%
other 0.9%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-5.9pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.1pp Structural effect
+1.5pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.30 · Dissimilarity: 13.0

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 89.2%
Foreign-born (2021) 10.8%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 49.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 92.2%
notEnglishPct 15.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

47/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 103 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum8/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing19/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate58%
Avg home ownership62%
Avg social rent15.8%
Degree or above21.5%
No qualifications23.5%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)62%
Social rent (2021)15.8%
Private rent (2021)19.1%
Ownership (2041)56.7%
Social rent (2041)15%
Social rent change-0.8pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 92.2%
notEnglishPct 15.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+15.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census