Melton

East Midlands · England
-24.8pp WBI 92.9% → 68.0% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
51,752 Population (2021 Census)
92.9% White British (2021)
77.0% White British (2041 projected)
68.0% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 92.9%
white other 4.0%
asian 1.2%
black 0.9%
mixed 0.7%
other 0.3%

Projected 2051

white british 68.0%
white other 10.1%
asian 9.9%
black 4.9%
mixed 3.5%
other 3.5%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.1pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+5.4pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.19 · Dissimilarity: 18.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 93.7%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.3%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 34.8%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.2%
notEnglishPct 5.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

35/100 Low Pressure Rank 174 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum1/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing14/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate60.1%
Avg home ownership70.5%
Avg social rent10.5%
Degree or above30.5%
No qualifications16%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)70.5%
Social rent (2021)10.5%
Private rent (2021)17%
Ownership (2041)63.2%
Social rent (2041)9.7%
Social rent change-0.8pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.2%
notEnglishPct 5.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+15.9pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census