Gedling

East Midlands · England
-18.0pp WBI 85.5% → 67.5% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
117,264 Population (2021 Census)
85.5% White British (2021)
75.4% White British (2041 projected)
67.5% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 85.5%
white other 3.9%
asian 3.9%
black 2.3%
mixed 3.5%
other 0.9%

Projected 2051

white british 67.5%
white other 11.8%
asian 6.9%
black 3.2%
mixed 9.5%
other 1.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-4.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.8pp Structural effect
+2.4pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.35 · Dissimilarity: 12.9

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 92.4%
Foreign-born (2021) 7.6%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 39.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.8%
notEnglishPct 6.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

34/100 Low Pressure Rank 181 of 320
Ethnic change15/20
Asylum3/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing16/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57.2%
Avg home ownership69.3%
Avg social rent9.2%
Degree or above29.9%
No qualifications16.5%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)69.3%
Social rent (2021)9.2%
Private rent (2021)15.3%
Ownership (2041)66.1%
Social rent (2041)9.1%
Social rent change-0.2pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.8%
notEnglishPct 6.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+10.2pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census