Ashfield

East Midlands · England
-18.8pp WBI 91.8% → 73.0% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
126,299 Population (2021 Census)
91.8% White British (2021)
81.9% White British (2041 projected)
73.0% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 91.8%
white other 3.3%
asian 1.6%
black 1.2%
mixed 1.6%
other 0.4%

Projected 2051

white british 73.0%
white other 17.3%
asian 1.9%
black 1.9%
mixed 5.3%
other 0.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-4.2pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+3.4pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.22 · Dissimilarity: 17.3

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 94.3%
Foreign-born (2021) 5.7%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 32.6%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.8%
notEnglishPct 6.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

34/100 Low Pressure Rank 179 of 320
Ethnic change15/20
Asylum6/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing13/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate58.3%
Avg home ownership65.7%
Avg social rent14.6%
Degree or above21%
No qualifications22.9%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)65.7%
Social rent (2021)14.6%
Private rent (2021)17%
Ownership (2041)63.1%
Social rent (2041)14.3%
Social rent change-0.2pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.8%
notEnglishPct 6.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+9.9pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census