Knowsley

North West · England
-19.1pp WBI 92.4% → 73.3% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
154,518 Population (2021 Census)
92.4% White British (2021)
82.7% White British (2041 projected)
73.3% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 92.4%
white other 2.9%
asian 1.6%
black 0.8%
mixed 1.7%
other 0.6%

Projected 2051

white british 73.3%
white other 20.8%
asian 1.9%
black 0.9%
mixed 2.4%
other 0.7%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.7pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+4.0pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.21 · Dissimilarity: 17.9

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 94.8%
Foreign-born (2021) 5.2%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 30.3%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.0%
notEnglishPct 6.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

43/100 Low Pressure Rank 126 of 320
Ethnic change15/20
Asylum10/20
School6/20
Language0/20
Housing13/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate58.1%
Avg home ownership58.8%
Avg social rent24.6%
Degree or above23.3%
No qualifications25.5%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)58.8%
Social rent (2021)24.6%
Private rent (2021)14.2%
Ownership (2041)57.6%
Social rent (2041)24%
Social rent change-0.6pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 21,576 pupils.

WBI pupils86.1%
Minority pupils13.9%
EAL growth (projected)+6.3pp
WBI gap (school vs population)6.3pp

Schools are 6pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.0%
notEnglishPct 6.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+9.7pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census