Wigan

North West · England
-21.5pp WBI 91.9% → 70.4% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
329,330 Population (2021 Census)
91.9% White British (2021)
80.7% White British (2041 projected)
70.4% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 91.9%
white other 3.2%
asian 1.8%
black 1.2%
mixed 1.3%
other 0.7%

Projected 2051

white british 70.4%
white other 14.4%
asian 3.3%
black 7.4%
mixed 3.3%
other 1.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.6pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+4.0pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.23 · Dissimilarity: 17.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 93.8%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.2%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 23.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.5%
notEnglishPct 7.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

52/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 83 of 320
Ethnic change17/20
Asylum17/20
School9/20
Language0/20
Housing9/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate58.9%
Avg home ownership64.7%
Avg social rent16.5%
Degree or above25.1%
No qualifications20.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)64.7%
Social rent (2021)16.5%
Private rent (2021)15.9%
Ownership (2041)60.3%
Social rent (2041)16%
Social rent change-0.5pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 48,339 pupils.

WBI pupils82.6%
Minority pupils17.4%
EAL growth (projected)+9.3pp
WBI gap (school vs population)9.3pp

Schools are 9pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.5%
notEnglishPct 7.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+11.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census