St Helens

North West · England
-14.9pp WBI 93.6% → 78.7% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
183,248 Population (2021 Census)
93.6% White British (2021)
85.8% White British (2041 projected)
78.7% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 93.6%
white other 2.9%
asian 1.4%
black 0.4%
mixed 1.1%
other 0.6%

Projected 2051

white british 78.7%
white other 15.9%
asian 1.6%
black 0.6%
mixed 2.3%
other 0.8%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.0pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+4.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.18 · Dissimilarity: 19.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 95.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 5.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 29.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.2%
notEnglishPct 5.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

47/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 101 of 320
Ethnic change12/20
Asylum18/20
School6/20
Language0/20
Housing12/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate56.9%
Avg home ownership63.7%
Avg social rent19.3%
Degree or above26.7%
No qualifications21%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)63.7%
Social rent (2021)19.3%
Private rent (2021)15.1%
Ownership (2041)62.1%
Social rent (2041)18.8%
Social rent change-0.5pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 26,891 pupils.

WBI pupils88.1%
Minority pupils11.9%
EAL growth (projected)+5.5pp
WBI gap (school vs population)5.5pp

Schools are 6pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.2%
notEnglishPct 5.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+7.8pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census