Waverley

South East · England
-7.6pp WBI 86.8% → 79.2% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
128,226 Population (2021 Census)
86.8% White British (2021)
82.1% White British (2041 projected)
79.2% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 86.8%
white other 6.8%
asian 2.8%
black 0.7%
mixed 2.2%
other 0.6%

Projected 2051

white british 79.2%
white other 10.7%
asian 3.0%
black 0.7%
mixed 5.9%
other 0.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.8pp Structural effect
+3.4pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.31 · Dissimilarity: 12.9

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 87.3%
Foreign-born (2021) 12.7%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 53.9%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.3%
notEnglishPct 7.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

27/100 Low Pressure Rank 232 of 320
Ethnic change7/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate58.8%
Avg home ownership70.2%
Avg social rent11.8%
Degree or above45%
No qualifications11%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)70.2%
Social rent (2021)11.8%
Private rent (2021)14.5%
Ownership (2041)69.4%
Social rent (2041)11.7%
Social rent change-0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.3%
notEnglishPct 7.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+4.7pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census