Rushmoor

South East · England
-28.9pp WBI 71.1% → 42.2% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
99,759 Population (2021 Census)
71.1% White British (2021)
52.0% White British (2041 projected)
42.2% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 71.1%
white other 6.3%
asian 14.7%
black 2.5%
mixed 2.6%
other 2.8%

Projected 2051

white british 42.2%
white other 16.1%
asian 26.0%
black 4.2%
mixed 4.6%
other 6.9%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-9.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
0.0pp Structural effect
-3.0pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.55 · Dissimilarity: 7.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 76.2%
Foreign-born (2021) 23.8%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 71.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 85.0%
notEnglishPct 30.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

47/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 104 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum7/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57%
Avg home ownership50.9%
Avg social rent13.3%
Degree or above24.8%
No qualifications15.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)50.9%
Social rent (2021)13.3%
Private rent (2021)18.6%
Ownership (2041)43.6%
Social rent (2041)11.1%
Social rent change-2.2pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 85.0%
notEnglishPct 30.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+19.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census