Chichester

South East · England
-7.5pp WBI 90.1% → 82.7% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
124,071 Population (2021 Census)
90.1% White British (2021)
85.6% White British (2041 projected)
82.7% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 90.1%
white other 5.3%
asian 1.8%
black 0.6%
mixed 1.6%
other 0.5%

Projected 2051

white british 82.7%
white other 10.8%
asian 1.8%
black 0.8%
mixed 3.5%
other 0.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.9pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.0pp Structural effect
+4.5pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.25 · Dissimilarity: 15.6

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 89.9%
Foreign-born (2021) 10.1%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 47.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.7%
notEnglishPct 6.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

32/100 Low Pressure Rank 196 of 320
Ethnic change7/20
Asylum7/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing19/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate55.1%
Avg home ownership65%
Avg social rent14.7%
Degree or above36.3%
No qualifications14.5%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)65%
Social rent (2021)14.7%
Private rent (2021)18%
Ownership (2041)64%
Social rent (2041)14.6%
Social rent change-0.2pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.7%
notEnglishPct 6.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+4.5pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census