Hart

South East · England
-8.3pp WBI 87.0% → 78.7% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
99,404 Population (2021 Census)
87.0% White British (2021)
81.9% White British (2041 projected)
78.7% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 87.0%
white other 5.6%
asian 3.6%
black 0.8%
mixed 2.3%
other 0.8%

Projected 2051

white british 78.7%
white other 10.2%
asian 4.7%
black 0.9%
mixed 4.7%
other 0.8%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.7pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.8pp Structural effect
+3.5pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.32 · Dissimilarity: 13.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 88.3%
Foreign-born (2021) 11.7%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 51.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.3%
notEnglishPct 7.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

27/100 Low Pressure Rank 235 of 320
Ethnic change8/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate62.5%
Avg home ownership73.9%
Avg social rent8.4%
Degree or above39.6%
No qualifications10.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)73.9%
Social rent (2021)8.4%
Private rent (2021)13.3%
Ownership (2041)72.4%
Social rent (2041)8.4%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.3%
notEnglishPct 7.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+5pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census