Horsham

South East · England
-10.0pp WBI 88.1% → 78.2% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
146,776 Population (2021 Census)
88.2% White British (2021)
82.5% White British (2041 projected)
78.2% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 88.2%
white other 5.5%
asian 2.7%
black 0.9%
mixed 2.1%
other 0.6%

Projected 2051

white british 78.2%
white other 13.1%
asian 3.0%
black 0.7%
mixed 4.4%
other 0.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-4.0pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.0pp Structural effect
+3.3pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.29 · Dissimilarity: 14.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 89.7%
Foreign-born (2021) 10.3%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 34.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.6%
notEnglishPct 6.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

24/100 Stable Rank 256 of 320
Ethnic change8/20
Asylum3/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing12/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate60%
Avg home ownership71.1%
Avg social rent11.1%
Degree or above35.7%
No qualifications12%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)71.1%
Social rent (2021)11.1%
Private rent (2021)14.2%
Ownership (2041)70.1%
Social rent (2041)11%
Social rent change-0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.6%
notEnglishPct 6.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+5.7pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census