Wandsworth

London · England
-21.2pp WBI 48.0% → 26.7% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
327,506 Population (2021 Census)
48.0% White British (2021)
34.3% White British (2041 projected)
26.7% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 48.0%
white other 19.9%
asian 11.7%
black 10.1%
mixed 6.3%
other 4.1%

Projected 2051

white british 26.7%
white other 18.1%
asian 11.3%
black 7.1%
mixed 11.2%
other 25.7%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-5.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+2.1pp Structural effect
-1.1pp Local effect

Diversity index

highly diverse Shannon entropy: 0.82 · Dissimilarity: 26.5

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 14.0% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 62.1%
Foreign-born (2021) 37.9%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 73.9%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 82.9%
notEnglishPct 34.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

59/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 50 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum1/20
School20/20
Language0/20
Housing18/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57.9%
Avg home ownership33.5%
Avg social rent14.8%
Degree or above48.9%
No qualifications7.7%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)33.5%
Social rent (2021)14.8%
Private rent (2021)29.9%
Ownership (2041)31.3%
Social rent (2041)15.4%
Social rent change+0.6pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 31,164 pupils.

WBI pupils26.2%
Minority pupils73.8%
EAL growth (projected)+21.8pp
WBI gap (school vs population)21.8pp

Schools are 22pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 82.9%
notEnglishPct 34.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+13.7pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census