Richmond upon Thames

London · England
-30.5pp WBI 63.0% → 32.5% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
195,277 Population (2021 Census)
63.0% White British (2021)
44.1% White British (2041 projected)
32.5% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 63.0%
white other 17.4%
asian 8.9%
black 1.9%
mixed 5.4%
other 3.3%

Projected 2051

white british 32.5%
white other 18.7%
asian 12.3%
black 2.5%
mixed 14.4%
other 19.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-8.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+0.7pp Structural effect
-2.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.65 · Dissimilarity: 15.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 71.2%
Foreign-born (2021) 28.8%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 65.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 88.7%
notEnglishPct 22.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

53/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 82 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum0/20
School14/20
Language0/20
Housing18/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate59%
Avg home ownership55.2%
Avg social rent10.9%
Degree or above53.9%
No qualifications8%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)55.2%
Social rent (2021)10.9%
Private rent (2021)23.1%
Ownership (2041)49.3%
Social rent (2041)11.2%
Social rent change+0.3pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 28,298 pupils.

WBI pupils49.0%
Minority pupils51.0%
EAL growth (projected)+14.0pp
WBI gap (school vs population)14.0pp

Schools are 14pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 88.7%
notEnglishPct 22.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+18.9pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census