Kingston upon Thames

London · England
-35.1pp WBI 53.7% → 18.6% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
168,065 Population (2021 Census)
53.7% White British (2021)
30.8% White British (2041 projected)
18.6% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 53.7%
white other 14.6%
asian 17.8%
black 2.8%
mixed 5.3%
other 5.7%

Projected 2051

white british 18.6%
white other 13.8%
asian 14.4%
black 2.1%
mixed 7.3%
other 43.8%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-9.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+1.3pp Structural effect
-4.4pp Local effect

Diversity index

highly diverse Shannon entropy: 0.75 · Dissimilarity: 23.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 14.5% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 66.3%
Foreign-born (2021) 33.7%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 70.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 82.7%
notEnglishPct 34.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

54/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 76 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum2/20
School14/20
Language0/20
Housing18/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate52.7%
Avg home ownership47.5%
Avg social rent8.8%
Degree or above41%
No qualifications9.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)47.5%
Social rent (2021)8.8%
Private rent (2021)23.1%
Ownership (2041)42.7%
Social rent (2041)9.2%
Social rent change+0.4pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 26,429 pupils.

WBI pupils39.7%
Minority pupils60.3%
EAL growth (projected)+14.0pp
WBI gap (school vs population)14.0pp

Schools are 14pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 82.7%
notEnglishPct 34.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+22.9pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census