Lambeth

London · England
-19.6pp WBI 37.6% → 18.0% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
317,650 Population (2021 Census)
37.6% White British (2021)
25.7% White British (2041 projected)
18.0% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 37.6%
white other 17.4%
asian 7.3%
black 24.0%
mixed 8.1%
other 5.7%

Projected 2051

white british 18.0%
white other 8.2%
asian 5.8%
black 13.7%
mixed 7.7%
other 46.7%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-1.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+3.3pp Structural effect
+1.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

highly diverse Shannon entropy: 0.88 · Dissimilarity: 38.9

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 61.4%
Foreign-born (2021) 38.6%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 74.4%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 82.2%
notEnglishPct 35.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

62/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 35 of 320
Ethnic change18/20
Asylum7/20
School20/20
Language0/20
Housing18/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate50.8%
Avg home ownership22.7%
Avg social rent22.5%
Degree or above38%
No qualifications9.3%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)22.7%
Social rent (2021)22.5%
Private rent (2021)23.6%
Ownership (2041)20.8%
Social rent (2041)25.6%
Social rent change+3.2pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 33,838 pupils.

WBI pupils16.0%
Minority pupils84.0%
EAL growth (projected)+21.6pp
WBI gap (school vs population)21.6pp

Schools are 22pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 82.2%
notEnglishPct 35.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+11.9pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census