Hammersmith and Fulham

London · England
-18.1pp WBI 38.3% → 20.1% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
183,156 Population (2021 Census)
38.3% White British (2021)
25.6% White British (2041 projected)
20.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 38.3%
white other 24.9%
asian 10.6%
black 12.3%
mixed 6.7%
other 7.3%

Projected 2051

white british 20.1%
white other 23.6%
asian 12.0%
black 13.0%
mixed 12.9%
other 18.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-6.7pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+2.8pp Structural effect
-3.1pp Local effect

Diversity index

highly diverse Shannon entropy: 0.88 · Dissimilarity: 36.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 15.8% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 54.5%
Foreign-born (2021) 45.5%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 79.4%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 78.6%
notEnglishPct 42.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

61/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 36 of 320
Ethnic change19/20
Asylum10/20
School15/20
Language0/20
Housing17/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate53.2%
Avg home ownership24.7%
Avg social rent22.5%
Degree or above44.7%
No qualifications9%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)24.7%
Social rent (2021)22.5%
Private rent (2021)30%
Ownership (2041)22.3%
Social rent (2041)22.3%
Social rent change-0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 19,012 pupils.

WBI pupils23.0%
Minority pupils77.0%
EAL growth (projected)+15.3pp
WBI gap (school vs population)15.3pp

Schools are 15pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 78.6%
notEnglishPct 42.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+12.6pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census