Teignbridge

South West · England
-2.8pp WBI 94.9% → 92.1% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
134,802 Population (2021 Census)
94.9% White British (2021)
93.2% White British (2041 projected)
92.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 94.9%
white other 2.8%
asian 0.8%
black 0.2%
mixed 1.2%
other 0.3%

Projected 2051

white british 92.1%
white other 4.7%
asian 0.6%
black 0.1%
mixed 2.2%
other 0.3%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: local migration.

-1.3pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+6.4pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.15 · Dissimilarity: 20.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 94.8%
Foreign-born (2021) 5.2%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 30.4%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.6%
notEnglishPct 2.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

17/100 Stable Rank 301 of 320
Ethnic change3/20
Asylum1/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing13/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate56.4%
Avg home ownership71.8%
Avg social rent9.5%
Degree or above32.5%
No qualifications15.5%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)71.8%
Social rent (2021)9.5%
Private rent (2021)17.8%
Ownership (2041)71.6%
Social rent (2041)9.5%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.6%
notEnglishPct 2.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+1.8pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census