Mid Devon

South West · England
-25.4pp WBI 93.8% → 68.4% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
82,853 Population (2021 Census)
93.8% White British (2021)
77.7% White British (2041 projected)
68.4% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 93.8%
white other 4.1%
asian 0.7%
black 0.5%
mixed 0.7%
other 0.3%

Projected 2051

white british 68.4%
white other 10.5%
asian 9.6%
black 5.2%
mixed 3.2%
other 3.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.1pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+5.5pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.17 · Dissimilarity: 19.3

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 93.8%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.2%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 34.8%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.3%
notEnglishPct 5.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

34/100 Low Pressure Rank 185 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing14/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate60.3%
Avg home ownership67.8%
Avg social rent12.5%
Degree or above30.4%
No qualifications16.8%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)67.8%
Social rent (2021)12.5%
Private rent (2021)18.6%
Ownership (2041)60.3%
Social rent (2041)11.5%
Social rent change-1.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.3%
notEnglishPct 5.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+16.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census