West Devon

South West · England
-27.1pp WBI 94.9% → 67.8% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
57,094 Population (2021 Census)
94.9% White British (2021)
78.0% White British (2041 projected)
67.8% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 94.9%
white other 2.9%
asian 0.6%
black 0.5%
mixed 0.8%
other 0.3%

Projected 2051

white british 67.8%
white other 9.5%
asian 10.3%
black 5.5%
mixed 3.2%
other 3.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-1.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+6.2pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.15 · Dissimilarity: 20.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 94.6%
Foreign-born (2021) 5.4%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 31.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.6%
notEnglishPct 2.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

33/100 Low Pressure Rank 193 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing13/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate53.8%
Avg home ownership70.8%
Avg social rent9.9%
Degree or above33.7%
No qualifications15.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)70.8%
Social rent (2021)9.9%
Private rent (2021)18.2%
Ownership (2041)63.4%
Social rent (2041)9.1%
Social rent change-0.8pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.6%
notEnglishPct 2.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+17pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census