Exeter

South West · England
-15.7pp WBI 82.7% → 66.9% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
130,707 Population (2021 Census)
82.7% White British (2021)
73.2% White British (2041 projected)
66.9% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 82.7%
white other 7.6%
asian 4.9%
black 0.9%
mixed 2.5%
other 1.4%

Projected 2051

white british 66.9%
white other 21.2%
asian 5.5%
black 0.9%
mixed 4.0%
other 1.5%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-5.6pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.7pp Structural effect
+1.4pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.39 · Dissimilarity: 9.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 85.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 15.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 45.0%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 92.2%
notEnglishPct 15.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

30/100 Low Pressure Rank 213 of 320
Ethnic change14/20
Asylum1/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing15/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate53.6%
Avg home ownership54.5%
Avg social rent15.6%
Degree or above32.8%
No qualifications12.7%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)54.5%
Social rent (2021)15.6%
Private rent (2021)24.2%
Ownership (2041)52.3%
Social rent (2041)14.9%
Social rent change-0.7pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 92.2%
notEnglishPct 15.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+9.5pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census