Torridge

South West · England
-26.0pp WBI 96.1% → 70.1% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
68,114 Population (2021 Census)
96.1% White British (2021)
79.8% White British (2041 projected)
70.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 96.1%
white other 2.2%
asian 0.5%
black 0.4%
mixed 0.6%
other 0.2%

Projected 2051

white british 70.1%
white other 8.8%
asian 10.3%
black 4.4%
mixed 3.0%
other 3.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: local migration.

-1.0pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.4pp Structural effect
+6.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.12 · Dissimilarity: 21.6

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 96.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 4.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 25.0%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 99.0%
notEnglishPct 2.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

31/100 Low Pressure Rank 210 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing11/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate54%
Avg home ownership69.8%
Avg social rent9.3%
Degree or above25.9%
No qualifications18.6%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)69.8%
Social rent (2021)9.3%
Private rent (2021)20.1%
Ownership (2041)62.8%
Social rent (2041)8.4%
Social rent change-0.9pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 99.0%
notEnglishPct 2.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+16.2pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census