North Devon

South West · England
-3.5pp WBI 94.3% → 90.8% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
98,612 Population (2021 Census)
94.3% White British (2021)
92.1% White British (2041 projected)
90.8% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 94.3%
white other 2.7%
asian 1.1%
black 0.3%
mixed 1.2%
other 0.3%

Projected 2051

white british 90.8%
white other 4.7%
asian 1.2%
black 0.4%
mixed 2.5%
other 0.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-1.7pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+6.0pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.17 · Dissimilarity: 19.8

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 94.5%
Foreign-born (2021) 5.5%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 31.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.1%
notEnglishPct 3.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

16/100 Stable Rank 310 of 320
Ethnic change3/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing13/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate56.5%
Avg home ownership67.2%
Avg social rent11%
Degree or above28.1%
No qualifications17.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)67.2%
Social rent (2021)11%
Private rent (2021)20.3%
Ownership (2041)66.8%
Social rent (2041)10.9%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.1%
notEnglishPct 3.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+2.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census