Somerset

South West · England
-17.5pp WBI 91.3% → 73.8% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
571,547 Population (2021 Census)
91.3% White British (2021)
79.9% White British (2041 projected)
73.8% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 91.3%
white other 5.1%
asian 1.5%
black 0.9%
mixed 0.8%
other 0.4%

Projected 2051

white british 73.8%
white other 10.3%
asian 7.1%
black 3.0%
mixed 3.5%
other 2.3%

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.22 · Dissimilarity: 16.8

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.9%
notEnglishPct 8.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

27/100 Low Pressure Rank 228 of 320
Ethnic change17/20
Asylum3/20
School7/20
Language0/20
Housing0/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57.5%
Avg home ownership66.7%
Avg social rent13.3%
Degree or above29.8%
No qualifications16.6%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)66.7%
Social rent (2021)13.3%
Private rent (2021)17.5%
Ownership (2041)61.7%
Social rent (2041)12.7%
Social rent change-0.6pp

Housing demand growth from demographic change is moderate.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 69,771 pupils.

WBI pupils84.3%
Minority pupils15.7%
EAL growth (projected)+7.0pp
WBI gap (school vs population)7.0pp

Schools are 7pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.9%
notEnglishPct 8.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+11.4pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census