Epsom and Ewell

South East · England
-27.7pp WBI 69.3% → 41.6% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
80,937 Population (2021 Census)
69.3% White British (2021)
51.8% White British (2041 projected)
41.6% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 69.3%
white other 10.1%
asian 11.4%
black 1.9%
mixed 4.4%
other 2.8%

Projected 2051

white british 41.6%
white other 20.6%
asian 20.1%
black 2.2%
mixed 12.3%
other 3.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-9.3pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+0.1pp Structural effect
-3.0pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.58 · Dissimilarity: 8.5

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 11.7% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 78.5%
Foreign-born (2021) 21.5%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 68.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 91.0%
notEnglishPct 17.9%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

40/100 Low Pressure Rank 149 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate56.2%
Avg home ownership64.3%
Avg social rent7.7%
Degree or above38.5%
No qualifications11%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)64.3%
Social rent (2021)7.7%
Private rent (2021)14.7%
Ownership (2041)57.5%
Social rent (2041)7.2%
Social rent change-0.4pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 91.0%
notEnglishPct 17.9%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+17.6pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census