Crawley

South East · England
-30.6pp WBI 61.8% → 31.1% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
118,492 Population (2021 Census)
61.8% White British (2021)
40.9% White British (2041 projected)
31.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 61.8%
white other 11.6%
asian 15.4%
black 4.5%
mixed 4.1%
other 2.7%

Projected 2051

white british 31.1%
white other 23.2%
asian 18.4%
black 9.6%
mixed 9.2%
other 8.5%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-10.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+0.6pp Structural effect
-4.6pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.67 · Dissimilarity: 13.5

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 17.0% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 73.2%
Foreign-born (2021) 26.8%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 62.9%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 84.3%
notEnglishPct 31.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

54/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 73 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum16/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing18/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate54.7%
Avg home ownership44.4%
Avg social rent18.3%
Degree or above22.2%
No qualifications14.3%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)44.4%
Social rent (2021)18.3%
Private rent (2021)17.4%
Ownership (2041)37.6%
Social rent (2041)16.3%
Social rent change-2pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 84.3%
notEnglishPct 31.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+20.8pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census